Watch the trends in the
US Economy and know the
power of your good deeds
and of the law of the origin
In the previous “Five Processes” article,
I said that the effects of “your good
deeds” and the “act of mercy and wisdom
of ① and ②” that are linked to the law of
the origin, will occur in two places, that
is your life and your country.(1)
In other words, the effects occur in
both the development of your life and
the development of the country where
you live.
Especially when the effects occur in
the country, it appears in the current
“economic situation” of the United
States. Therefore, it is important to
observe the economic situation in
detail. Because it shows the vitality
(energy) and healthiness, etc. of the
current American citizens.
Therefore, by looking at the current
US economic indicators,ー You can
know how much your actions
(good deeds) contribute to the
development of the country and
citizens.
That is, “Does the result change
well, or does it change badly, or
does nothing change?”ーThere is
nothing more accurate than the
“results” that indicate the true
value of the action you have taken.
You can also confirm by it the true
value of the law ーthe law of the
originー you used
(1) “Country” here does not
mean just “state”, but refers to
the general environment in
which people live in a country
in a broad sense. Because the
law of the origin is a vast law,
its effects are also vast.
“Country” includes the living
environment of individuals
including the nation, the work
environment, society, and the
whole natural environment.
Trends of the US Economy
from the End of 2018 to 2019
Looking back on the US economy
in the first half of 2019, many
economic analysts’ forecasts for
the first quarter (January to March)
were quite pessimistic at the
beginning of this year. The reason
is that early this year there were
many events that were headwinds
to the US economy. Partial closure
of government agencies,
uncertainty over additional tariffs
and trade issues, bad weather in
high dollar, Stock price volatility at
the end of last year, furthermore,
the effects of large tax cuts have
diminished.
Even UBS (2) Global Wealth
Management’s Chief Investment
Officer (CIO) says “Retail sales
statistics” at the beginning of this
year were weak, and said
“I was expecting a very weak
figure in the first quarter.”
(2)UBS―The world’s largest
financial group providing high
quality financial services in
more than 50 countries,
including the world’s major
financial centers. Based in
Zurich, Switzerland. Its major
divisions, investment banking
and securities, wealth
management for wealthy and
asset management, all have
a leading position in the world.
In addition, many analysts feared
that corporate performance would
deteriorate in the middle of March,
and there was growing concern
that the United States would later
fall into recession.
However, in the first quarter (Jan-Mar),
employment, wages and retail
sales showed improvement in the
second half. (Below table)
Consumer spending in March 2019
increased by 1.6%, rising for the
first time in a year and a half since
September 2017. At that time,
the consensus was an increase
of 1% and at most 1.3%, but it
exceeded it’s maximum.
This result clearly indicates that
consumer demand is strong.
Strong demand is backed by
improvements in the labor
market and wage increases.
Employment statistics
The number of non-farm payrolls
in January, announced by the US
Department of Labor on February 1,
2019, is “304.000 more than the
previous month,” significantly
exceeding the market forecast of
165.000, supporting the economic
boom. The unemployment rate is
also “4.0%,” although it surpassed
the previous market forecast of
3.9%, but remains resilient.
In addition, the number of
unemployment insurance
applications has also reached a low
level for the first time in 50 years.
Housing, other sectors
In new home sales (announced on
April 24), the January-March quarter
increased by nearly 15% year-on-year,
the highest growth for the first time
in six years. As a result, Palto’s CEO
Ryan Marshall(3) said in a statement
on April 24 that
“2019 could be a good year for the
housing industry”
and showed a surprisingly bright
outlook.
It is not only the housing sector
that has overturned pessimism.
Financial results exceeded market
expectations in a wide range of
industries, including Coca-Cola
(KO.N), Caterpillar (CAT.N), Microsoft
(MSFT.O) and Twitter (TWTR.N).
(3) PultoGroup, Inc.ーA home
construction company based
in Atlanta, Georgia.
After that (after March), the US
economy returned to normal figures
for economic indicators, but since
the increase in the number of non-
farm payrolls in January (described
above), it has been solid and vibrant
until today (June).
I am definitely thinking that this
result is simply the result of the
victory you have done in connection
with the law of the origin. Your
actions clearly contribute to the
development of the country.
Economic trends in the United
States have a major impact on the
world. Therefore, Analysts in the
world are always watching.
The driving force behind that is the
consumer, the wisdom and vitality
of the citizens. And you are at the
center of the citizen.
Other economic indicators
There are five main indicators to see
US economic trends:
1 FF rate
2 Employment statistics
3 Real GDP growth rate
4 ISM manufacturing business
sentiment index –Around 50
5 Retail sales (showing consumer
purchasing power)
In the future, I would like you to
pay attention to the economic
situation in the United States in
this way as well.
Economic trends in the United
States show the effect of good
deeds you do and the real worth
of the law of the origin.
However, it is not always good,
and there may be waves.
Therefore, the results are also
important to be stand long
span perspectives as viewed
through months or even years.
In any case, it is to see if the
result is “good or bad.”
It’s not so difficult. This is also
one of the outside phases.
(There is a continuation. Please wait.)
